Bonds vs Stocks in 2025: Where to Invest as Interest Rates Peak and Markets Rally
Global stocks have surged over 23% in 2025, with U.S. equities up in the mid- to high-teens and the S&P 500 lifted by tech earnings and consumer demand. The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index has gained just over 7% after two years of losses. Central banks are preparing to cut rates, with 10-year U.S. Treasury yields near 4.1% in December. The gap between stocks and bonds has narrowed sharply from the zero-rate era.