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Shares of Strive, Inc. rose 9.43% on Tuesday following the bitcoin-treasury firm’s announcement of its biggest weekly acquisition in several months. The stock changed hands at $21.59 as of 13:46 EDT. Trading volume hit 9.3 million shares, exceeding double the stock’s recent average.
The latest purchase expanded the treasury faster than common shares, but preferred issuance raised the senior capital claim.
| Q2 revenue | $2.9M |
| H1 revenue | $5.7M |
| H1 GAAP net loss | $523.5M |
| H1 preferred dividends | $39.7M |
| H1 operating cash flow | -$39.4M |
| SATA annualized dividend rate | 13.0% |
| Short- and long-term debt | $0 by Aug. 7 |
| Firm | Date | Action | Rating | Target | Upside / downside vs $21.59 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H.C. Wainwright | Aug. 11 | Maintained; target cut | Buy | $36 | +66.7% |
| TD Cowen | Jul. 22 | Maintained; target cut | Buy | $28 | +29.7% |
| Benchmark | Jun. 2 | Initiated | Buy | $32 | +48.2% |
| B. Riley | May 15 | Maintained | Buy | $20 | -7.4% |
| S&P Global consensus | Current | Five analysts | Strong Buy | $26.60 | +23.2% |
| ETH scenario | Gross holdings | Per share* |
|---|---|---|
| $2,000 | $12.33B | $20.44 |
| $2,440 reported | $14.90B | $24.70 |
| $3,000 | $18.18B | $30.13 |
| Seven-day annualised yield | 2.67% |
| Current projected annual revenue | $330M |
| Fully scaled projection | $381M |
| Current projection / market cap | 2.2% |
| Shares outstanding | 603.23M |
| Quarter-over-quarter change | +21.4% |
| Previous close | $24.14 |
| 25 Aug range, 09:47 EDT | $23.59–$24.52 |
Risk map: crypto trades continuously while BMNR does not. Gross holdings are issuer-reported and include $269M of strategic equity stakes. Market value can diverge sharply from gross asset value.
About 91% of the gross weekly increase came from repricing the previous ETH balance, not buying more tokens.
| ETH move | ETH price | Est. gross holdings |
|---|---|---|
| −10% | $2,196 | $13.47B |
| Reference | $2,440 | $14.90B |
| +10% | $2,684 | $16.33B |
Every $100 ETH move changes gross value by roughly $584.8 million. A 2% ETH move is about $285 million.
| Firm / source | View | Target |
|---|---|---|
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | $30.30 |
| B. Riley | Buy | $25.00 |
| S&P Global poll | Strong Buy | $31.87 avg. |
Latest cited updates were July 1–16, 2026. The small coverage base can lag a fast ETH move.
ETH rises, staking yield holds, and ETH per diluted share keeps increasing.
Separate token-price gains from value created through purchases and capital allocation.
Gross holdings ignore liabilities, taxes, dilution, private marks and staking constraints.
Sources: BitMine August 24 update, August 17 update, Yahoo Finance, Benzinga, StockAnalysis/S&P Global. Sensitivities are preliminary calculations, not company guidance.
Market data through Aug. 24, 2026, 17:55 EDT · U.S. after-hours trading
Close series: $0.46, $0.84, $1.47, $1.14 and $1.74. After-hours: $2.25 at 17:55 EDT.
Core gap: the update gives capacity and timing, but no machine count, bitcoin output, power cost, revenue or margin forecast.
| Metric | Reading | Investor meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Georgia power | 10 MW | Physical scale |
| Theoretical compute | 900 PH/s | Not realised output |
| 2025 revenue | $14.04M | +20.3% year/year |
| 2025 net loss | -$9.06M | Funding remains central |
| Free cash flow | -$13.78M | Latest reported 12 months |
| Shares outstanding | 11.80M | +172% year/year |
| Market cap | $20.53M |
|---|---|
| Price / sales | 1.83× |
| Cash + short investments | $3.74M |
| Net cash | $1.24M |
| Named analyst consensus | Not available |
| Short interest | 18.7% of shares |
Valuation and balance-sheet readings use latest reported financials; market cap reflects the Aug. 24 close.
Power connection and initial machine deployment within management's roughly two-month window.
Fast energisation converts owned U.S. infrastructure into mining output and supports the AI-compute pivot.
Capital needs, dilution, grid delays or weaker crypto economics overwhelm the headline capacity.
Tokenized stocks expand Base — scale is the next test
Snapshot: Aug. 24, 2026, 10:07 EDT / 16:07 CEST
The tokenized-equity market equals about 11.5% of average USDC held in Coinbase products. Market size is not revenue.
Subscription and services revenue reached $555M in Q2 2026.
Price sits about 18% above the 52-week low and 53% below the high.
Consensus is Buy, yet the wide target band signals high regulatory and cycle risk.
Monday's tokenized-stock launch gives Base a fresh use case alongside a broader crypto-equity rally. The share move was modest, however. Investors are treating the product as long-dated distribution optionality because access excludes the U.S. and the addressable market is still small.
Bitcoin's five-day surge put Strategy's treasury about $3.0 billion above cost. The company sold $2.01 billion of MSTR shares last week and added no coins, reducing the immediate bitcoin-per-share leverage.
A weaker dollar and larger Treasury buybacks pushed investors toward alternative assets. Short covering amplified the bitcoin move.
Strategy built a $5.1B USD Reserve and a separate $1.59B cash pool. That supports obligations and future purchases.
The company issued common equity but bought no bitcoin. Near-term BTC per share fell on an illustrative basis.
| Action | Amount | Investor consequence |
|---|---|---|
| MSTR shares sold | 18.26M | Common-equity dilution |
| Gross proceeds | ≈$2.01B | ≈$110 per share |
| Bitcoin transactions | None | Holdings stayed 840,447 |
| USD Reserve | $5.10B | Fixed-obligation buffer |
| New USD Cash | $1.59B | Deployment optionality |
| STRC repurchase | $136.4M | Preferred support |
Risks: A 4.7% bitcoin cost-basis cushion can disappear quickly. More equity sales can dilute holders. A continued liquidity rally could instead lift both BTC and MSTR. Gross bitcoin value does not deduct debt, preferred stock, taxes or other claims.
Sources: CoinDesk, MarketWatch, StockAnalysis / S&P Global Market Intelligence, The Block, Reuters, and Google Finance. Prices are time-stamped above; crypto trades continuously. Calculations are preliminary and rounded.
| Metric | Level | M/M | Y/Y |
|---|---|---|---|
| Platform assets | $355.0B | −4% | +19% |
| Equity notional | $332.8B | −15% | +59% |
| Options contracts | 324.2M | +2% | +66% |
| Crypto notional | $10.9B | −33% | −62% |
| Event contracts | 6.1B | −5% | +20× |
| Firm | Rating | Target | Vs $106.94 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | $115 | +7.5% |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | $118 | +10.3% |
| Needham | Buy | $120 | +12.2% |
| Barclays | Overweight | $105 | −1.8% |
| Citizens | Market Outperform | $155 | +44.9% |
MSTR outran bitcoin last week. That added upside beta, but the treasury’s mark-to-market gain remains small relative to the stock move.
Market data: Friday, August 21, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Holdings: August 16, 2026. U.S. equities closed; crypto trades continuously. Prepared Sunday, August 23, 2026, 8:02 PM EDT.
| Week through Aug. 16 | Amount | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| MSTR shares sold | 3.46M | Common dilution funded liquidity |
| Net proceeds | $333.7M | No bitcoin bought or sold |
| USD reserve addition | $149.1M | Reserve reached $4.8B |
| STRC repurchases | $132.2M | Reduced preferred overhang |
| Preferred dividends | $52.4M | Recurring claim ahead of common |
Sources: WSJ and FT market reports; StockAnalysis closing data; Strategy’s August 17 filing as summarized by The Block; Investing.com analyst consensus. Values are rounded. Treasury gain is a preliminary gross mark before debt, preferred claims, taxes, fees or dilution.
Bitcoin beta was not enough.
Friday's selloff priced construction, funding and tenant-visibility risk into the AI-landlord story. The lease is large. Cash flow is delayed.
| Signal | What to watch | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | Whether it holds the $77,000 area | Tests the mining earnings floor |
| CLSK relative strength | Recovery toward $12.62 | Would reclaim the 200-day average |
| IREN earnings | Aug. 27, after market close | Peer benchmark for AI-infrastructure valuations |
| Sandersville execution | Funding, equipment and construction milestones | Turns contract value into bankable cash flow |
Coinbase outpaced Bitcoin last week as Binance faced fresh compliance questions. The rally is powerful. The valuation cushion is not.
Indexed from the Aug. 14 close; percent change
Three forces, one crowded trade
Aug. 14 to Aug. 21 closes
Targets compared with the $186.49 close
| Source | View | Target | Upside/downside |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baird | Neutral | $142 | -23.9% |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | $184 | -1.3% |
| Rosenblatt | Buy | $200 | +7.2% |
| Needham | Buy | $177 | -5.1% |
| S&P Global poll | Buy | $194.97 | +4.5% |
MARA Holdings · Bitcoin mining, power and AI-ready digital infrastructure
| Firm | Rating | Target | Upside / downside |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTIG | Buy | $27 | +139.8% |
| Bernstein | Hold | $17 | +51.0% |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Buy | $12 | +6.6% |
| Clear Street | Hold | $10 | -11.2% |
| Morgan Stanley | Sell | $6 | -46.7% |
1. Bitcoin holds the $78,335 Friday close.
2. MARA signs its first targeted AI lease by year-end.
3. Long Ridge clears regulatory review.
4. Power cost per bitcoin stops rising.
The bitcoin treasury gained about $705 million in mark-to-market value, yet the shares still trailed bitcoin. The market is rewarding the rebound while withholding a full AI-infrastructure premium until MARA converts powered land into contracted revenue.
Daily vendor closes through Friday, then timestamped Saturday spot. The breakout accelerated after Tuesday.
IBIT supplied most of the week’s demand. The rally is stronger if participation broadens.
US dollars, millions. Friday remained positive but fell 49.3% from Thursday.
Observed levels, not forecasts. Price needs both follow-through and continued cash demand.
| Analyst | Stance | Trigger |
|---|---|---|
| Jefferies (NYSE:JEF) | Cautious | Premature to call the next leg; watch the CLARITY Act and SEC tokenization rules |
| Bernstein Research (EPA:GLE / NYSE:AB JV) | Constructive | Liquidity and ETF demand improve |
| Nansen | Conditional | Spot buying holds above $70K |
| AdLunam | Cautious | ETF inflows persist and macro eases |
| When | Catalyst | Channel |
|---|---|---|
| Tue 25 · 10:00 | New-home sales | Rates |
| Tue–Thu · 13:00 | $183B Treasury auctions | Yield demand |
| Wed 26 · 08:30 | GDP + PCE + durables | Dollar / real yields |
| Fri 28 · 04:00 | Deribit BTC options expiry | Hedging volatility |
| Fri 28 · 10:00 | Fed Chair Warsh at Jackson Hole | Liquidity outlook |
| Fri 28 · 11:00 | CME (NASDAQ:CME) BTC futures settlement | Institutional rolls |
MARA reached $12.465, up 11.8% from Thursday. It closed at $11.26. The 9.7% retreat from the high came on 101.1 million shares.
That matters because crypto produced only 13% of Q2 transaction revenue.
Key test: persistence| Line | Revenue | YoY | Mix |
|---|---|---|---|
| Options | $342M | +29% | 44% |
| Event contracts | $156M | >10× | 20% |
| Equities | $129M | +95% | 17% |
| Crypto | $100M | -38% | 13% |
| Funded customers | 28.4M |
| Platform assets | $369B |
| Gold subscribers | 4.8M |
| Firm | Rating | Target | vs. close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | Overweight | $105 | -2.9% |
| Cantor | Overweight | $115 | +6.4% |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | $118 | +9.1% |
| Needham | Buy | $120 | +11.0% |
| Citizens | Market Outperform | $155 | +43.3% |
① Bitcoin holds Friday's breakout
② Treasury yields after expanded buybacks
③ PCE inflation and Jackson Hole
④ Any Clarity Act progress
| Proxy | Close | Week | SOL held |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPXI | $1.08 | +44.5% | 2.17M |
| STKE | $1.33 | +29.1% | 0.53M |
| DFDV | $3.94 | +28.3% | 2.29M |
| SOL | $94.84 | +26.0% | — |
| Stock | View | Analysts | Average target |
|---|---|---|---|
| DFDV | Strong Buy | 2 | $5.85 |
| UPXI | Hold | 2 | $4.65 |
| STKE | Hold | 2 | $1.70 |
The daily pace clears the bull-case hurdle. The 30-day base does not.
| Source | Level | From spot |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Hayes bull case | $150 | +89.9% |
| FXEmpire breakout | $100 | +26.6% |
| DCo conservative case | $60 | −24.0% |
| FXEmpire downside | $45 | −43.0% |
| Signal | Constructive | Caution |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Daily pace persists | Reverts toward $38.4M monthly base |
| Price | Reclaims $82.43 record | Breaks former $76.87 high |
| Regulation | CFTC opens formal pathway | Rules favor registered incumbents |
| Liquidity | Open interest rises with spot demand | Leverage rises without fresh capital |
HYPE is pricing policy optionality before the rules exist.
The target implies roughly $176B of market value at current circulating supply.
Consensus: Buy · 34 analysts · August 2026
| ETH staked | 5.067M | 87% |
| 7-day annualized yield | 2.61% | Company figure |
| Projected current staking revenue | $250M | Annualized |
| Shares repurchased since July | 20.8M+ | Share count matters |
| 1 | Weekend Ether close versus $2,520 reference |
| 2 | Opening gap versus $22.83 stock close |
| 3 | Next weekly ETH and buyback disclosure |
| Risk | Crypto reversal, custody, slashing or dilution |
Dogecoin led Bitcoin over the past week, while Coinbase finished Friday 25.6% above its August 14 close. The next signal is turnover: lasting volume can help transaction revenue; a fast price reversal cannot.
| Operating marker | Q2 2026 | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| Transaction revenue | -21% q/q | Trading softness was visible |
| Trading-volume share | 10.3% | Record; up from 9.1% |
| Subscription/services mix | 48% of net revenue | Buffers fee volatility |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 14th positive quarter | Cost discipline held |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 22 / 9 / 3 |
|---|---|
| Consensus | Buy |
| Average target | $195.52 · 4.8% above close |
| Median target | $185.00 · 0.8% below close |
| Low / High | $95 / $330 |