US Treasury Bonds Forecast for December 2025: Fed Rate Cut, Delayed Jobs & CPI Data, and Auction Supply Set Up a Volatile Finish
Mid-December is shaping up as one of the most consequential stretches of the year for the U.S. Treasury market—not because investors lack information, but because too much of it is about to arrive at once. After the Federal Reserve’s December rate cut and a surprise pivot back to technical Treasury bill purchases to steady money markets, traders are now bracing for a shutdown-delayed burst of jobs and inflation data that could reprice the entire yield curve before year-end. Meanwhile, the U.S. Treasury’s auction calendar marches on, with key mid- and late-December auctions still ahead—right as liquidity conditions typically tighten into
