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Federal Reserve 16 February 2026 - 16 March 2026

S&P 500 Correction Warning Grows as Oil Shock, Fed Fears Split Wall Street

S&P 500 Correction Warning Grows as Oil Shock, Fed Fears Split Wall Street

The S&P 500 dipped 0.21% to close at 6,781.48 on Tuesday, erasing earlier advances. Market debate intensified: a Forbes/Trefis piece floated a potential 25% correction for the index, while FXStreet’s Dr. Arnout Ter Schure maintained that even with the latest pullback, new highs remain possible. Investors juggled shifting headlines from overseas and a volatile crude session.
10 March 2026
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Wall Street Shaken by $100 Oil: Dow Drops, Airlines Slide, Rate-Cut Bets Pushed Out

Wall Street Shaken by $100 Oil: Dow Drops, Airlines Slide, Rate-Cut Bets Pushed Out

Stocks on Wall Street slipped Monday, pressured by spiking oil that put renewed heat on inflation worries and weighed on travel and bank names, while chipmakers rebounded just enough to keep the Nasdaq mostly stable. By 11:58 a.m. EDT, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had shed 398.03 points, or 0.84%, landing at 47,103.52. The S&P 500 slipped 0.44%; the Nasdaq Composite edged down just 0.06%. “With oil prices going up 50% in a matter of weeks — that’s a displacement this market hasn’t seen in years,” said Dennis Dick, founder and market structure analyst at Triple D Trading. https://www.reuters.com/business/wall-st-futures-slump-iran-war-drags-oil-near-120-stokes-inflation-worries-2026-03-09/
9 March 2026
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US Stock Market Open Today: Oil Nears $120, Futures Slide and Fed Cut Bets Fade

US Stock Market Open Today: Oil Nears $120, Futures Slide and Fed Cut Bets Fade

U.S. stock futures slid early Monday, with oil climbing close to $120 a barrel and reigniting inflation worries as the Middle East conflict stretched into day ten. By 6:43 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis had dropped 1.18%, while S&P 500 futures were off 1.05% and Nasdaq 100 futures shed 1.13%. Premarket action saw travel and bank names in the red, energy stocks notched gains, and traders dialed back bets on earlier Fed rate cuts, pushing expectations further out.
9 March 2026
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Silver plunges as Iran war boosts dollar and delays Fed cuts — SLV back in focus

Silver plunges as Iran war boosts dollar and delays Fed cuts — SLV back in focus

Gold took a sharp dive Tuesday, losing 5.6% to $5,029.59 an ounce, while silver dropped even harder—down 11.2% to $79.42. The selloff followed a stronger dollar and rising bond yields, despite the persistent tensions from the Iran conflict. Platinum and palladium didn’t escape the pressure either, both finishing lower. “The move lower in gold appears to be driven by a flight to liquidity,” said Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures.
3 March 2026
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Silver price dips below $88 after Monday surge as tariffs, Fed outlook keep traders edgy

Silver price dips below $88 after Monday surge as tariffs, Fed outlook keep traders edgy

Spot silver edged lower Tuesday, trimming part of Monday’s sharp 4.3% climb as the dollar steadied and traders tracked U.S. tariff headlines and geopolitical news. Silver was off around 0.2% at $87.98 an ounce as of 12:45 p.m. ET, after swinging between $84.98 and $88.92 during the session. https://www.investing.com/currencies/xag-usd-historical-data
24 February 2026
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Gold price hits three-week high as Trump tariff deadline nears; Fed and data next

Gold price hits three-week high as Trump tariff deadline nears; Fed and data next

Gold jumped over 2% Monday, climbing to a three-week high as investors moved into bullion on renewed tariff worries and a weaker dollar.By 1:33 p.m. ET, spot gold had gained 2% to $5,206.39 an ounce, while April U.S. gold futures finished up 2.8% at $5,225.60. Earlier, the metal hit a record $5,594.82 on Jan. 29. Silver surged 3.2% to $87.23. Platinum dropped 0.7% to $2,140.75, and palladium edged up 0.1% to $1,750.53. “Our expectation is that gold prices could rise sharply this week once activity picks up,” said Jeffrey Christian, managing partner at CPM Group, pointing to mainland China’s reopening on Tuesday after the Lunar New Year holiday.
23 February 2026
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US GDP Cools to 1.4% as Core PCE Inflation Hits 3% — What It Means for Fed Rates

US GDP Cools to 1.4% as Core PCE Inflation Hits 3% — What It Means for Fed Rates

Futures for major U.S. indexes slipped Friday as fresh data pointed to a late-2025 slowdown in economic growth, while December inflation came in higher than forecast. As of 8:34 a.m. ET, S&P 500 E-minis traded 0.28% lower, with Nasdaq 100 E-minis losing 0.39% and Dow E-minis off by 0.23%. The fourth quarter saw GDP expand at a 1.4% annualized clip, and core PCE inflation advanced 0.4% for December.
20 February 2026
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Mortgage rates today tick lower as U.S. markets shut; homebuilder stock prices in focus ahead of Fed minutes

Mortgage rates today tick lower as U.S. markets shut; homebuilder stock prices in focus ahead of Fed minutes

U.S. mortgage rates edged lower on Monday, with Bankrate’s national survey putting the average 30-year fixed rate at 6.13%, down 10 basis points from a week earlier; the 15-year fixed was 5.51% and the average 30-year refinance rate was 6.50%. Mortgage Bankers Association President Bob Broeksmit said applications were “essentially flat” last week, with borrowers leaning more on FHA loans — a government-backed option — and adjustable-rate mortgages, which reset after an initial period. U.S. stock markets were closed for the Presidents Day holiday, with trading set to resume on Tuesday.
16 February 2026
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Gold price dips below $5,000 in holiday-thin trade as dollar firms; Fed minutes next

Gold price dips below $5,000 in holiday-thin trade as dollar firms; Fed minutes next

Gold took a more than 1% hit on Monday, with spot prices tumbling below $5,000 an ounce as the U.S. dollar strengthened and thin holiday volumes set the tone. Spot bullion dropped 1.3% to $4,976.37 per ounce as of 1619 GMT. U.S. Comex gold futures for April delivery also softened, down 1% at $4,996.60. “Gold is range-trading around $5,000/oz in a week with lower liquidity due to holidays,” said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo. MarketPulse's Zain Vawda at OANDA clipped his medium-term target, now looking for $5,100–$5,200 instead of $5,500.
16 February 2026
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