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Inflation 26 September 2025 - 17 November 2025

TSX Today: Toronto Stock Exchange Steadies Ahead of Key Inflation Data (November 17, 2025)

TSX Today: Toronto Stock Exchange Steadies Ahead of Key Inflation Data (November 17, 2025)

Futures for the S&P/TSX Composite Index signaled a flat open Monday, with December contracts down 0.03% as of 5:50 a.m. ET. The Toronto market rebounded last week after a sharp 1.9% drop Wednesday, ending up 1.4% for its best week since September. Investors are awaiting October inflation data, expected to show annual CPI cooling to 2.1% from 2.4%. The Bank of Canada recently cut its key rate to 2.25%.
17 November 2025
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FTSE 100’s Record Run: Inside London’s Blue-Chip Rally and What’s Next

UK Stock Market Today, 17 November 2025: FTSE 100 Steadies After Budget Shock as Investors Eye UK Inflation and US Data

The FTSE 100 edged up 0.1% to around 9,701 by 09:00 GMT Monday after Friday’s 1.1% drop, its steepest since April, following reports of a Budget U-turn on income tax. The FTSE 250 slipped 0.1%, while gilt yields rose amid concerns over increased government borrowing. Rightmove reported the sharpest autumn decline in UK asking prices in 13 years.
17 November 2025
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Mega Metal Rally! Gold Rockets Past $4,000 as Silver Nears $52 on Debasement Fears

Silver Price Today (12 Nov 2025): XAG/USD holds near $51.8 as markets eye U.S. CPI and a House vote to reopen government

Spot silver traded near $51.8/oz, up about 1% after briefly dipping to $51.05 early Tuesday as the dollar firmed. COMEX front-month futures hovered between $51.25 and $51.60. Traders focused on a U.S. House vote to end the federal shutdown and Thursday’s CPI release, both seen as key for the Fed-rate outlook and the dollar. Silver set a record above $52 in October amid strong demand and tight supply.
12 November 2025
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2026 Social Security COLA Shocker: Benefits Up 2.8% (+$56), But Rising Costs Threaten the Gain

2026 Social Security COLA Shocker: Benefits Up 2.8% (+$56), But Rising Costs Threaten the Gain

The Social Security Administration set a 2.8% cost-of-living adjustment for 2026, raising average monthly benefits by about $56 for 75 million Americans starting in January. The standard Medicare Part B premium is projected to rise to $206, up $21 from 2025. VA disability and federal pensions will see similar increases. SSI recipients get a 2.8% boost effective Dec. 31, 2025.
26 October 2025
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U.S. Stocks Rally as Shutdown Fears Fade – Markets Hit Fresh Records

Wall Street Explodes: Dow Jones Jumps 400 Points as Inflation Cools – Tech Stocks Lead, Fed Cuts Expected

U.S. stocks closed at record highs Friday, with the Dow up 400 points and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq also reaching new peaks. Tech and chip stocks led gains—AMD surged 6.5%, Nvidia 4.2%. September inflation rose just 0.3%, below forecasts, boosting bets on a Fed rate cut at the Oct. 29 meeting. Energy and industrial shares lagged, while a partial government shutdown continued.
24 October 2025
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Stock Market on Edge: U.S. Futures Slide as US-China Trade War Heats Up

Stocks Surge on Cooling Inflation – Fed Cuts Loom, Experts Warn of Bubble

U.S. stocks surged after September CPI data showed inflation at 3.0%, below forecasts. The Nasdaq rose 0.9% and the S&P 500 gained 0.6% on Oct. 23, nearing record highs. Investors now fully expect a 25 bp Fed rate cut at the Oct. 28–29 meeting. Tech and AI stocks, including Nvidia and Palantir, led gains.
24 October 2025
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Bond Yields Plunge on Cooling Inflation – Fed Cuts and Stock Rally in Play?

Bond Yields Plunge on Cooling Inflation – Fed Cuts and Stock Rally in Play?

U.S. consumer inflation rose 3.0% year-on-year in September, slightly below forecasts, prompting markets to fully price in a Fed rate cut next week. The 10-year Treasury yield fell below 4% and the dollar weakened on the news. S&P 500 futures jumped about 1%, lifting stocks toward record highs. Financials outperformed, while homebuilders and utilities lagged.
24 October 2025
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Stocks Rocket on Cooling Inflation Data; Tech Stocks & Fed Speeches in Spotlight

Stocks Rocket on Cooling Inflation Data; Tech Stocks & Fed Speeches in Spotlight

US September CPI rose 3.0% year-on-year, below the 3.1% forecast, fueling a Wall Street rally and bets on a Fed rate cut next week. Nasdaq gained 0.9%, S&P 500 rose 0.6%, and Dow added 0.3% on October 23. Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index plunged to −12.8 in October from +23.2. Oil prices spiked on new sanctions, while gold eased from record highs.
24 October 2025
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Stocks Rally as U.S. Inflation Cools – Asia Joins Global Rally, Fed Cut Seen as Lock

Stocks Rally as U.S. Inflation Cools – Asia Joins Global Rally, Fed Cut Seen as Lock

U.S. consumer prices rose 0.3% in September, below forecasts, with core CPI up 0.2%. Wall Street futures climbed after the data; Dow E-mini futures gained 0.5%, S&P 500 E-minis 0.7%, and Nasdaq 100 E-minis 0.98%. Intel surged 8% pre-market on strong earnings, while Deckers Outdoor dropped 11.5% after cutting guidance. Fed futures now price in a 25bp rate cut at next week’s meeting.
24 October 2025
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Kazakhstan Freezes Fuel Prices Through Spring 2026 – Will It Tame Inflation or Fuel Bigger Problems?

Kazakhstan Freezes Fuel Prices Through Spring 2026 – Will It Tame Inflation or Fuel Bigger Problems?

Kazakhstan froze gasoline, diesel, and utility prices nationwide from October 16, 2025, through at least spring 2026, after annual inflation hit 12.9% in September, a two-year high. The National Bank raised its key interest rate to a record 18% in October. Officials cite surging Russian fuel prices linked to the Ukraine war. The move follows deadly 2022 protests over fuel costs.
23 October 2025
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Gas Price Crash: Pump Prices Near $3 for First Time in Years – How Low Can They Go?

Gas Price Crash: Pump Prices Near $3 for First Time in Years – How Low Can They Go?

U.S. gas prices have dropped to a four-year low, averaging $3.05 per gallon, with GasBuddy briefly recording a $2.99 national average this week. The decline follows a sharp fall in crude oil prices, with U.S. oil trading near $57 per barrel amid record production and a global supply glut. At least 32 states now average under $3 per gallon. Demand has eased after summer, while forecasts suggest prices may stay low into 2025.
23 October 2025
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Mega Metal Rally! Gold Rockets Past $4,000 as Silver Nears $52 on Debasement Fears

Mega Metal Rally! Gold Rockets Past $4,000 as Silver Nears $52 on Debasement Fears

Gold surged above $4,000 per ounce in October 2025, setting a new record, while silver hit $51.70, its highest in decades. Both metals have outperformed stocks this year, with gold up over 50% and silver up nearly 70%. Investors and central banks are buying heavily amid inflation fears and supply shortages. Analysts forecast further gains, with some predicting gold could reach $5,000 and silver $65 by 2026.
13 October 2025
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Brazil’s Producer Prices Plunge for 7th Month – Are We Heading for a Broader Slowdown?

Brazil’s Producer Prices Plunge for 7th Month – Are We Heading for a Broader Slowdown?

Brazil’s producer-price index fell 0.20% in August, marking a seventh straight monthly drop, while consumer inflation rebounded to 0.48% in September after a spike in electricity and fuel costs. The central bank held the Selic rate at 15.0% and signaled a prolonged pause. The Ibovespa index slipped to 141,700 points, with the real steady at 5.38 per dollar. Economists expect inflation to ease into the target range by early 2026.
10 October 2025
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Tariff Shock and Fed Jitters: Asian Markets Stumble as Rally Meets Reality

PCE Inflation Today: “Goldilocks” or Head Fake? What the 26 Sept 2025 Report Really Means for Your Wallet, the Fed, and Markets

Headline PCE inflation rose 0.3% in August, pushing the annual rate to 2.7%, while core PCE held at 2.9% year-over-year. Consumer spending climbed 0.6% and personal income increased 0.4% for the month. S&P 500 futures gained about 0.3% after the report, with Treasury yields and the dollar slipping. The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points on Sept. 17, setting the target range at 4.00%–4.25%.
26 September 2025
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