Today: 13 June 2026
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Federal Reserve 30 April 2026 - 16 May 2026

Markets Drop Fed Rate Cut Bets for 2026

Markets Drop Fed Rate Cut Bets for 2026

Prediction-market odds for no Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026 jumped to 69% on Polymarket and 68% on Kalshi. U.S. stocks fell over 1% Friday as oil prices and Treasury yields climbed, pressuring technology shares. CME FedWatch now shows a 60% chance of higher rates by January. Near-term markets still expect no change at the June Fed meeting.
16 May 2026
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US Stock Market After-Hours: Cisco’s 20% AI Rally Keeps Records in View, but Fed Risk Builds

US Stock Market After-Hours: Cisco’s 20% AI Rally Keeps Records in View, but Fed Risk Builds

Cisco shares jumped nearly 20% after hours Wednesday as the company raised its fiscal 2026 outlook and AI order target to $9 billion. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs despite a 1.4% April surge in the Producer Price Index, the largest monthly gain since March 2022. Prediction markets gave a 97.5% chance the Fed will hold rates steady in June.
14 May 2026
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Wall Street’s Tomorrow Test: Retail Sales, Fed Rate Risk and a Trump-Xi Trade Push

Wall Street’s Tomorrow Test: Retail Sales, Fed Rate Risk and a Trump-Xi Trade Push

U.S. retail sales data for April is due Thursday at 8:30 a.m. EDT, offering a key signal on consumer spending after inflation jumped. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs Wednesday, led by tech shares, despite producer prices posting their biggest monthly gain in four years. Prediction markets show a near-unanimous expectation that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in June.
13 May 2026
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Stock Market Today: Dow Drops as Hot Inflation Data Puts Fed Rate Cuts on Ice

Stock Market Today: Dow Drops as Hot Inflation Data Puts Fed Rate Cuts on Ice

The U.S. producer price index jumped 1.4% in April, its largest monthly rise since March 2022, pushing the S&P 500 down 0.10% and the Dow off 0.35% late Wednesday morning. The Nasdaq edged up 0.07% as chip stocks rebounded, with the Philadelphia semiconductor index gaining 1.7%. Traders increased bets on no Fed rate cuts this year after the inflation data.
13 May 2026
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US Stock Market Today: Nasdaq Futures Bounce, but Hot CPI Keeps the Fed Risk Alive

US Stock Market Today: Nasdaq Futures Bounce, but Hot CPI Keeps the Fed Risk Alive

Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.82% premarket as traders bought back into chip stocks ahead of Trump’s China visit, while Dow futures fell 0.3%. April CPI climbed 0.6% month over month, with energy accounting for over 40% of the increase. Oil hovered near $106 a barrel, fueling inflation concerns and reducing expectations for Fed rate cuts. Markets now see a higher chance of a December rate hike.
13 May 2026
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US Stocks Lose Their Record Edge After Hours as Oil Turns Inflation Into a Fed Problem

US Stocks Lose Their Record Edge After Hours as Oil Turns Inflation Into a Fed Problem

Tech stocks led declines Tuesday after April CPI data showed consumer prices rose 0.6% for the month and 3.8% year-over-year, pushing Treasury yields higher and weighing on rate-cut hopes. Brent crude settled above $107, fueling inflation concerns. The S&P 500 slipped 11.88 points to 7,400.96, while the Nasdaq lost 185.92 to 26,088.20. Chip stocks fell sharply, with Qualcomm down 11% and Intel off 6.8%.
13 May 2026
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Hot CPI Shock Hits Nasdaq: Wall Street’s Record Run Stalls as Fed Cut Bets Fade

Hot CPI Shock Hits Nasdaq: Wall Street’s Record Run Stalls as Fed Cut Bets Fade

U.S. stocks fell Tuesday after April inflation exceeded forecasts, with the S&P 500 down 0.4% and the Nasdaq off 0.6%. The Consumer Price Index rose 0.6% in April and 3.8% year-over-year, driven by a 3.8% jump in energy costs. Treasury yields climbed, and major tech shares dropped sharply. Markets now expect the Federal Reserve to keep rates steady into 2027.
12 May 2026
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Gold Price Forecast: This Week’s Rally Puts $4,800 Back in Play, But Iran and Fed Risks Loom

Gold Price Forecast: This Week’s Rally Puts $4,800 Back in Play, But Iran and Fed Risks Loom

Gold rose 2.3% for the week, ending at $4,719.68 an ounce on Friday, as hopes for a U.S.-Iran deal eased inflation fears and weakened the dollar. U.S. gold futures settled at $4,730.70. Traders are watching if bullion can hold above $4,700 and break resistance near $4,780-$4,900. U.S. payrolls grew by 115,000 in April, above forecasts, keeping the Fed cautious on rate cuts.
9 May 2026
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Dow Jones Today: Jobs Beat Keeps Wall Street Rally Alive, But Fed Problem Grows

Dow Jones Today: Jobs Beat Keeps Wall Street Rally Alive, But Fed Problem Grows

The Dow Jones slipped 0.03% to 49,584.21 late Friday morning, lagging the S&P 500 and Nasdaq after April nonfarm payrolls rose by 115,000 and unemployment held at 4.3%. Strong hiring dampened hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut. Nasdaq tech shares, including Nvidia and Apple, gained over 2%. The University of Michigan’s May sentiment index fell to 48.2 as consumers cited high gasoline prices and tariffs.
8 May 2026
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U.S. Stock Market Week Ahead: Jobs Report, Fed Split and Earnings Could Test Wall Street’s Record Run

U.S. Stock Market Week Ahead: Jobs Report, Fed Split and Earnings Could Test Wall Street’s Record Run

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs Friday, rising 0.29% and 0.89% respectively, while the Dow slipped 0.31%. April saw the S&P 500 gain over 10% and the Nasdaq jump more than 15%. Over 100 S&P 500 companies report earnings this week, with first-quarter profit growth tracking at 27.8%. The Federal Reserve kept rates steady last week amid policy division over inflation and growth.
3 May 2026
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US Dollar Drops as GDP Miss and Core PCE Jump Cloud Fed Cut Bets

US Dollar Drops as GDP Miss and Core PCE Jump Cloud Fed Cut Bets

The U.S. dollar fell Thursday after first-quarter GDP growth missed forecasts and core inflation accelerated, complicating the Federal Reserve’s rate outlook. The Dollar Index dropped 0.59% to 98.33, with the dollar hitting session lows against the yen after Japanese officials hinted at intervention. The Fed held rates steady Wednesday but showed division over future cuts. U.S. GDP grew at a 2.0% annualized rate, while core PCE inflation jumped to 4.3%.
30 April 2026
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US Stock Market Before the Open Today: Oil Shock, Fed Split and Big Tech Earnings Put AI Rally on Trial

US Stock Market Before the Open Today: Oil Shock, Fed Split and Big Tech Earnings Put AI Rally on Trial

U.S. stock futures fell early Thursday as Brent crude hit its highest level since March 2022, driven by concerns over U.S.-Iran tensions. The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged in its most divided vote since 1992, shifting focus to inflation risks. Alphabet and Amazon posted strong cloud earnings, while Meta’s increased spending highlighted pressure in the sector.
30 April 2026
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US Stock Market Today After Hours: Alphabet Jump Splits Big Tech as Fed Divide and Oil Shock Bite

US Stock Market Today After Hours: Alphabet Jump Splits Big Tech as Fed Divide and Oil Shock Bite

Alphabet shares jumped over 7% after reporting 22% revenue growth and a 63% surge in Google Cloud sales. Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta all fell in after-hours trading despite beating some estimates, as investors scrutinized AI spending and capex forecasts. The Dow lost 0.57% in regular trading. The Federal Reserve held rates steady in a divided vote, citing persistent inflation.
30 April 2026
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Stock Market Today

  • Warren Buffett and Elon Musk Debate on 'Moats' vs Innovation
    June 13, 2026, 9:59 AM EDT. Warren Buffett and Elon Musk clashed over moats, a term Buffett uses for companies' enduring competitive advantages like strong brands that sustain profits. Musk dismissed moats as outdated, emphasizing rapid innovation as key to competitiveness, articulated during Tesla's 2018 earnings call. Buffett responded at Berkshire Hathaway's shareholders meeting, playfully challenging Musk's approach but acknowledging his disruptive potential. Musk later tweeted about starting a candy company to build his own 'moat,' referencing Buffett's expertise in candy with his company See's Candies. The exchange highlights differing investment philosophies: Buffett's focus on durable moats versus Musk's prioritization of fast-paced innovation.

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13 June 2026
Red Lobster CEO Damola Adamolekun is betting on AI for sales forecasting, food ordering, HR, and scheduling as the chain fights to recover from its 2024 bankruptcy, but despite improved same-store sales and a $60 million cash infusion, Red Lobster lost money in four of the past five quarters and 2025 sales stayed over 20% below pre-bankruptcy levels.
Roku Stock Jumps 20% on Sale Talk as Investors Watch Next Catalyst

Roku Stock Jumps 20% on Sale Talk as Investors Watch Next Catalyst

13 June 2026
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